Optimal decision making in healthcare requires the ability to make accurate forecasts of the consequences of various clinical or policy options. In a previous webinar, Dr. Mark Roberts, professor of health policy and former president of the Society of Medical Decision Making, demonstrated several modeling techniques. At the end of the course, he briefly discussed ARCHeS, an online interface to the Archimedes Model. The Archimedes Model is a full-scale, carefully validated simulation model of health and healthcare. It was started 20 years ago by evidence-based medicine pioneer David Eddy, MD, PhD, and uses advanced methods of mathematics, computing, and data systems to forecast health and costs for different interventions on populations of interest.
On September 19, Roshan Shah, manager of client services, and Dr. Badri Rengarajan, medical director at Archimedes, will demonstrate how the ARCHeS interface can be used to inform health policy decision making by government officials at the federal and state levels. They will address the following items in terms of their impact on health, quality of life, and medical costs:
- Prioritization of healthcare prevention activities
- Identification of wellness programs
- Comparison of supplemental care management guidelines
Roshan Shah, Manager of Client Services, Archimedes, Inc.
oshan Shah is the manager of Client Services at Archimedes, Inc. Roshan’s primary role is to lead support and training activities for the ARCHeS suite of products and he is a member of the product development team for ARCHeS. With David Eddy MD, PhD, founder of Archimedes, Roshan co-authored an analysis of the Medicare Shared Savings Program using ARCHeS (Eddy, Shah. “A Simulation Shows Limited Savings From Meeting Quality Targets Under The Medicare Shared Savings Program.” Health Affairs. 2012 Nov; 31(11): 2554-62). He is also a member of the Science team at Archimedes, serving as the project lead for consulting engagements. Prior to joining Archimedes, Roshan was a Research Associate at FFA Sciences, LLC and holds a M.S. in Biomedical Engineering from USC and a B.S. in Biomedical Engineering from UCSD.
Badri Rengarajan, MD, Medical Director, Archimedes, Inc.
Badri Rengarajan, MD is a medical director at Archimedes. His primary responsibilities include providing clinical input to Model development efforts and leading consulting engagements. Badri has over ten years of healthcare industry experience, including roles in product development strategy and new product planning, regulatory affairs, market research, and business development. Badri earned an AB in biology and public policy from Harvard University and an MD from Yale University
Who Should Attend?
Principle investigators, researchers, analysts, and decision makers in health policy, health outcomes research, and health economics, from the following government agencies:
- HHS (especially AHRQ, CDC, CMS, FDA, HRSA, and ASPE)
- NIH (especially NDDK, NIGMS, NINR, NIA, NIDA, NIMHD, NHLBI)
- HSR&D Centers of Excellence (especially CHQOER, CCDOR)
Archimedes Inc. is a healthcare modeling and analytics organization. Founded by David Eddy, MD, PhD, a pioneer in evidence based medicine, its core technology – the Archimedes Model – is a clinically realistic, mathematical model of human physiology, diseases, interventions, and healthcare systems. The Model is continually validated by comparing the results of simulated trials to the results of multinational clinical trials and cohort studies, and the results are published.
Through products such as IndiGO and ARCHeS, Archimedes helps people understand the implications of their decisions. For the last 15 years, Archimedes has assisted many organizations in the United States and Europe answer questions related to health and economic outcomes research, policy creation, clinical trial design, and performance improvement. Archimedes, a Kaiser Permanente Innovation, is based in San Francisco, California. For more information about Archimedes and its product offerings, please visit the company’s website at archimedesmodel.com